Monday, November 29, 2010

Q & A Session This Thursday

Following class this Thursday, December 2, we will have our final Q & A session for the Fall Semester.

This is a good chance to ask your questions before the exam, so come prepared with your questions.

By the way, the best kinds of questions as an exam approaches are ones you have struggled with on your own first. If something in your notes doesn't make sense, do some work to try to figure out why it doesn't make sense. Re-read the relevant cases or materials. Do some hard studying. If you can resolve it by working through it, you will own it forever. If you still can't figure it out, then maybe I can help direct you.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Announcements

1. No class this Thursday Novenmer 18 (I will be speaking at UMKC Law)

2. Notice that I have deleted one assignment from the syllabus. This was some material that I have not covered the last few years, and I prefer to spend a extra class on Landlord & Tenant in lieu of an extra class on co-tenancies.

FYI--"A Modest Proposal to Avert Another Mortgage-Backed Securities Disaster"

I am not assigning this, just sharing it for those who might be interested. From PropertyProf blog:


November 15, 2010

A Modest Proposal to Avert Another Mortgage-Backed Securities Disaster

At its core, the mortgage-backed securities crisis is the product of an inadequately regulated mortgage-industry system.  This inadequacy resulted in a massive transfer of wealth from you and me to lenders and investment banks, and an economic crisis that continues the plague the country.
So I've been playing a thought-game: what's the smallest amount of regulatory reform that would completely prevent this disaster from recurring?
I've got a nominee.
Before I explain it, I need explain how we got to the point where we need it.  To that end, here's the mortgage-backed securities crisis, in 10 easy-to-understand steps!
(follow the bump)

OK, here's the mortgage-backed securities crisis in 10 easy-to-understand steps:
(1) At one time, lenders who made mortgage loans kept those loans in-house; they got the benefit from the loan payments, and they got the cost from default.  Their insurance against the cost of default was foreclosure and sale. 
(2) That system shut down during the Great Depression.  To get home lending working again, the federal government created a brilliantly-conceived secondary market for mortgage loans: lenders could make loans, and then rather than hold onto them, sell them to someone else.  This lessened lenders' risks, so they were more willing to make loans.
(3) The entity that purchased these loans from lenders was an newly created government agency called the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA).  But -- and this is critical -- the FNMA would only purchase loans that met certain quality standards.  The borrower had to produce a significant downpayment (usually 20%), borrow money at a fixed-rate, take a long-term loan, and could not take on debt that exceeded a modest debt-to-income ratio.  That meant that (a) the risk of default, and thus foreclosure, was quite small, and (b) the U.S. housing market was remarkably sound and stable.
(5) Investment banks and new lenders began to compete with Fannie Mae to purchase loans on the secondary market, because they could pool the loans together and sell securities in the pool to investors. 
(6) Investors loved these mortgage-backed securities, because they were perceived as a very safe and reliable investment: after all, the U.S. housing market had been remarkbaly sound and stable.
(7) Investment banks and lenders competed with Fannie Mae by purchasing loans that did not meet the FNMA's quality standards: no money down, no income-to-debt ratio, adjustable rates, short term loans.  Fannie Mae responded by lowering its standards.  A race to the bottom began.  Soon, Fannie Mae and the investment banks were securitizing pools of very,very low-quality mortgage loans. 
(8) Investors, relying on a historically stable U.S. housing market without considering that the conditions that created that stability (i.e., FNMA's quality standards) had been undermined, continued to buy up mortgage-backed securities.
(9) Lenders, who made their profits not by receiving a stream of payments on loans, but instead by making loans and instantly selling them on the secondary market, had every incentive to make as many low-quality loans as possible as quickly as possible.
(10) Borrowers took on loans they couldn't afford and would have to re-finance in short order.  They secured those loans with their homes.
It was a house of cards that couldn't possibly last, and both lenders and investment banks knew it.  Borrowers didn't know it.  Investors in mortgage-backed securities didn't know it.  But lenders and investment banks knew it.  It is bitterly ironic therefore that we, through the Bush Administration's TARP rescue program, saved lenders and investment banks, but not borrowers or investors.
Now we are caught in a continuous spiral.  Foreclosures flood the market, which drives down home values.  Home values fall below the amount outstanding on short term mortgage loans that need to be re-financed.  Those homes can't be re-financed, because their re-sale value in the event of foreclosure won't cover the amount borrowed.  The homeowner in need of re-financing now must either pay the entire principal on the loan, or go into foreclosure.  Foreclosures flood the market, which . . . . You get the grim picture.
I don't know how to get us out of this mess, but I do have a modest proposal to help prevent it from recurring.  One solution would be to keep Fannie Mae nationalized, re-convert it to the FNMA, and re-impose its old quality standards on the secondary market.  But politically?  Ain't happening.  Apparently it's still, despite everything we've been through, too ideologically distasteful.
So how about this?  From now on, lenders have to keep a certain percentage of their loans in-house.  Say 20%.  But here's the key: they don't get to choose which ones.  That's decided randomly.  No lender who has a 20% chance of having to bear the cost of a low-quality loan is likely to make one without some serious pause.  Think of it as forcing lenders to internalize some of the risk of their behavior.
One regulation.  Call it the 'toxic-asset roulette' rule.  The rest of the de-regulated mortgage-backed securities system can stay in place.
What do you think?  What are your ideas?
Mark A. Edwards

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Announcements

A few quick announcements.

1. I will schedule another Q & A session for Thursday November 11 from 3:25 PM until I answer all your questions. This is an optional session we are doing to make up the classes I have had to cancel.

2. This Friday's class (Nov. 5) will end a little early (about 2:45). I am going out of town and need to leave a little early.

3. Just a heads up. Right now it looks like I will be speaking at UMKC Law School on Thursday Nov. 18. There is a chance this engagement will be postponed so I am not canceling class yet. Just giving you a heads up as to the possibility that class will be canceled.

4. I will also schedule a make-up Q & A session for the week after Thanksgiving. Time and place to be announced.